Universal Logistics Holdings Stock Performance

ULH Stock  USD 15.96  0.55  3.57%   
Universal Logistics has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 3.55, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Universal Logistics will likely underperform. Universal Logistics right now has a risk of 4.65%. Please validate Universal Logistics potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Universal Logistics will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Universal Logistics Holdings are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly abnormal essential indicators, Universal Logistics may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.57
Five Day Return
(10.34)
Year To Date Return
3.64
Ten Year Return
21.55
All Time Return
(29.07)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0263
Payout Ratio
0.3369
Forward Dividend Rate
0.42
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-01
1
Universal Logistics GAAP EPS of -2.84 misses by 3.12, revenue of 6.8M misses by 26M
11/07/2025
2
Acquisition by Moroun Matthew T of 647 shares of Universal Logistics at 23.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
Investors in Universal Logistics Holdings From a Year Ago Are Still Down 69, Even After 18 percent Gain This Past Week -
11/26/2025
4
Head-To-Head Review Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste vs. Universal Logistics
12/05/2025
5
SolarEdge, Mayville Engineering, Standex, Rocket Lab, and Universal Logistics Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
12/10/2025
6
Why Universal Logistics Stock Is Falling Today
12/16/2025
7
Universal Logistics Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings - Finviz
12/29/2025
 
Universal Logistics dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
8
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.
01/07/2026
9
Universal Logistics Shares Up 9 percent - Still a Buy - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow12.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-462.9 M

Universal Logistics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,593  in Universal Logistics Holdings on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Universal Logistics Holdings or generate 0.19% return on investment over 90 days. Universal Logistics Holdings is generating 0.1075% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.6466% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Universal, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Universal Logistics is expected to generate 6.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Universal Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Universal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.96 90 days 15.96 
about 47.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal Logistics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.49 (This Universal Logistics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Universal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.55 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Universal Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally Universal Logistics Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Universal Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Universal Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3515.9620.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7613.3717.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0814.6919.30
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details

Universal Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal Logistics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.55
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Universal Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 Universal Logistics paid $ 0.105 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universal Logistics Shares Up 9 percent - Still a Buy - MarketBeat

Universal Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Universal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Universal Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.9 M

Universal Logistics Fundamentals Growth

Universal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Universal Logistics, and Universal Logistics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Universal Stock performance.

About Universal Logistics Performance

By evaluating Universal Logistics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Universal Logistics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Universal Logistics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Universal Logistics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.78  1.90 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.15 

Things to note about Universal Logistics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal Logistics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 Universal Logistics paid $ 0.105 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universal Logistics Shares Up 9 percent - Still a Buy - MarketBeat
Evaluating Universal Logistics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Universal Logistics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Universal Logistics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Universal Logistics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Universal Logistics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Universal Logistics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Universal Logistics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Universal Logistics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Universal Logistics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Universal Logistics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Universal Logistics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Universal Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Universal Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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